Will there be an act of terrorism using drones in Paris during the Olympics between July 24 - August 11?
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Premium
86
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resolved Aug 13
Resolved
NO

https://www.the-sun.com/sport/11582520/isis-terror-attack-threat-to-paris-olympics/

"ISLAMIC terror outfit ISIS has threatened chilling attacks on the upcoming Paris Olympics in an appalling poster message.

The death cult posted a propaganda image showing one of its terrorists seemingly flying an "armed drone" to attack the iconic Eiffel Tower.

The poster, pushed by ISIS-linked social media channels, was captioned: "Lone wolves' Olympics have begun with the Will of Allah."

The chilling threat vaguely indicates there could be attempts to carry out lone-wolf-style terror attacks across Paris amid the upcoming games."

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This market resolves based on acts involving a drone or drones from July 24 - Aug 11 in Paris during the Olympics that are reported as "terrorism", "likely terrorism", "suspected terrorism" or equivalent, as reported by at least two major US news media outlets (see list below) and published by market close on August 12, 2024.

This market applies to acts that occur in areas within the 1929 annexed limits of Paris (105 km2)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geography_of_Paris

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MAJOR US NEWS MEDIA OUTLETS

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/News_media_in_the_United_States

ABC News

CBS News

CNN

Fox News Channel

MSNBC

NBC News

The New York Times

USA Today

The Wall Street Journal

The Washington Post

Politico

Bloomberg

Vice News

HBO

HuffPost

TMZ

CNET

NPR

The Hollywood Reporter

Newsweek

The New Yorker

Time

U.S. News & World Report

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@TheNotTooDistantFuture This can resolve NO, thank you!

resolves

bought Ṁ500 YES

For legal reasons my yes bet is just a gut feeling based on modern events and the fact that covid probably slowed down them earlier

bought Ṁ500 NO

Does there have to be an actual attempt or does reporting about a person being caught while plotting an attack count?

@Arky IMHO yes if the news uses the words terrorists and drones together

@Arky it needs to be actual deployment of a drone that is reported as an act of terror/terrorism, regardless of whether there is physical damage or physical harm caused. In other words, not just someone plotting to carry out an act.

@TheNotTooDistantFuture cops raiding a terrorist cell within Paris with drones in their room does not qualify?

@TimothyBandors That would resolve to "NO"... that would be plotting terrorism, not an act of terrorism

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