Tracking predictions from the podcast Oh No, Ross and Carrie! episode 399. Transcript available at https://maximumfun.org/transcripts/oh-no-ross-and-carrie/transcript-oh-no-ross-and-carrie-ep-399-ross-carrie-and-psychics-predict-2024-cancer-cures-and-election-edition/
Ross Blocher: I shall! Also, “Europe could see a rise in terrorist attacks.” She mentioned devastating weapons and claims that a, quote, “big country”, unquote, will conduct biological weapons tests or nuke attacks next year.
I will resolve according to their evaluation in 2025 ("No" for a zero on their scale, "N/A" for one, and "Yes" for two)
With the podcast ending, I can no longer simply defer to the host's judgements for the resolution. Please vote in this poll if you have thoughts on how I should resolve these markets:
1,000Resolved YES, per the Global Terrorism Index 2025 report from the IEP:
The impact of terrorism in Europe increased in 2024, following the region’s lowest levels recorded in 2023 since the inception of the Index. There were 25 deaths from 67 incidents in 2024, almost double the attacks when compared to the prior year.
@traders my resolution criteria for this market failed to account for the possibility that we wouldn't get ratings from Ross and Carrie, but with the podcast having ended that now seems pretty likely. Please vote in this poll to let me know if you'd prefer me to use my judgement instead, or just resolve this market N/A.
Either way, I will not trade in this market.