What will the charity with the most cost-effective intervention+region on Givewell's spreadsheet at the end of 2022 do?
4
Ṁ235resolved Jan 1
1D
1W
1M
ALL
24%Vitamin A Supplementation
7%Long-Lasting Insecticide-Treated Net Distributions
1.9%Unconditional Cash Transfers
29%Deworming
17%Seasonal Malaria Chemoprevention
7%Conditional Cash Transfers for Immunization
My previous question ( https://manifold.markets/Tetraspace/what-will-the-most-costeffective-ch ) resolved N/A because Givewell has stopped aggregating overall effectivenesses for charities, instead "expect[ing] to focus [their] allocation decisions for these organizations on specific country-level funding gaps" ( https://www.givewell.org/how-we-work/our-criteria/cost-effectiveness/cost-effectiveness-models/changelog-2021#Change_19_Remove_overall_cost-effectiveness_estimates_for_AMF_Malaria_Consortium_Helen_Keller_International_Sightsavers_END_Fund_and_Deworm_the_World )
This will resolve to the intervention performed by the charity with the highest value of "Cost-effectiveness in multiples of cash transfers, after all adjustments", in any of the regions in which it operates. Currently, this is Vitamin A Supplementation, due to Hellen Keller International's score of 57.6 in Niger.
Apr 6, 11:01pm: Correction: Currently, this is Deworming, due to Sightsavers' score of 62.1 in Niger State.
Get Ṁ500 play money
Related questions
How much will GiveWell raise from donors other than Open Philanthropy in 2022, in millions of dollars?
Tetra
How much money will EffiSciences get from Giving Tuesday?
Lucie
Will GiveWell say that Dispensers for Safe Water are less than 6.5x as effective as GiveDirectly before 2024?
Nathan Young
Will 'Effective Altruism' reach 50% of previous US Google Trends peak in 2023?
Katja Grace
Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026?
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Will projects funded via Manifund be able to issue additional impact certificates for sale on the platform in 2023?
Brian T. Edwards
At the end of 2023, will Givewell still be the top recipient from Manifold for Charity?
Isaac King
Will Givewell have raised more than $600M total in 2022
Marcus Abramovitch
Will the US Child Tax Credit provide the maximum benefit to filers with no earnings in the 2023 tax year?
Max Ghenis
How many more NO LOAN days will there be in 2023? [Unlinked Multiple Choice]
Joshua
Will there be a new major longtermist funder before the end of 2024?
Jonas Vollmer
Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support unconditional cash transfers before 2027?
Nathan Young
Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027?
Nathan Young
Will the Long Cramer Fund outperform the Inverse Cramer Fund in 2023?
Jack
How much will Rethink Priorities raise by the end of 2023?
Nathan Young
Will the Survival and Flourishing.Fund (SFF) fund a longevity organization/person in any or all of 2023?
CockatooThiel
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ24 |
Related questions
How much will GiveWell raise from donors other than Open Philanthropy in 2022, in millions of dollars?
Tetra
How much money will EffiSciences get from Giving Tuesday?
Lucie
Will GiveWell say that Dispensers for Safe Water are less than 6.5x as effective as GiveDirectly before 2024?
Nathan Young
Will 'Effective Altruism' reach 50% of previous US Google Trends peak in 2023?
Katja Grace
Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026?
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Will projects funded via Manifund be able to issue additional impact certificates for sale on the platform in 2023?
Brian T. Edwards
At the end of 2023, will Givewell still be the top recipient from Manifold for Charity?
Isaac King
Will Givewell have raised more than $600M total in 2022
Marcus Abramovitch
Will the US Child Tax Credit provide the maximum benefit to filers with no earnings in the 2023 tax year?
Max Ghenis
How many more NO LOAN days will there be in 2023? [Unlinked Multiple Choice]
Joshua
Will there be a new major longtermist funder before the end of 2024?
Jonas Vollmer
Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support unconditional cash transfers before 2027?
Nathan Young
Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027?
Nathan Young
Will the Long Cramer Fund outperform the Inverse Cramer Fund in 2023?
Jack
How much will Rethink Priorities raise by the end of 2023?
Nathan Young
Will the Survival and Flourishing.Fund (SFF) fund a longevity organization/person in any or all of 2023?
CockatooThiel
Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?
Nathan Young
How many USD will the Long Term Future Fund (LTFF) pay out in 2023?
Tassilo Neubauer
Will $50mm worth of SBF political donations be clawed back or voluntarily returned by the end of 2023?
Brian T. Edwards
Will any of the GiveWell top recommended charities be Malaria-related at the end of 2030?
Carson Gale