On the 19th August, which models will Qwen3.8 be better than on LLMArena text leaderboard?
5
Ṁ175Ṁ400Aug 18
4%
claude-fable-5
5%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
24%
kimi-k3
47%
claude-opus-4-8-thinking
47%
gpt-5.5-high
66%
claude-sonnet-4-6
78%
claude-sonnet-5-high
Resolves according to their ranking on the text leaderboard, under default settings (currently overall and style-adjusted). If they have the exact same ELO, resolves by the order listed on LLM Arena. I may check at any time on the 19th August, UK time.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a Chinese AI model rank in the top 10 on the LMArena Text leaderboard on August 1?
59% chance
At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena?
25% chance
Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
A 70B model beats Opus 4.7 on LMArena
1/24/27
Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
Will a Chinese model top LMArena by EOY 2026?
34% chance
Will a US open-weights LLM outrank every Chinese open-weights LLM on LMArena at the end of 2027?
15% chance
