If Penny Mordaunt is the leader of the Conservative Party going into the next UK general election, will the Conservative Party win?
8
14
200
2025
15%
chance
This resolves N/A if Penny Mordaunt is not the leader of the Conservative Party going into the next general election, currently scheduled for the 2nd May 2024, YES if the first government formed after that election is a Conservative majority or minority government or a coalition government where Conservatives make up a plurality of the seats in the coalition that forms the goverment, and NO otherwise. #Politics #UKPolitics #2024UKGeneralElection #PennyMordaunt #UKConservativeParty Close date updated to 2025-01-24 12:00 am
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