If Kamala Harris becomes the Democratic nominee, will she win the 2024 election?
63
132
Ṁ4KṀ455
Nov 3
41%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Kamala Harris is currently the Vice President of the US, elected in 2020 on the Biden/Harris ticket.
One consideration for the Democratic party when choosing a nominee is how likely they are to actually win an election. I thus ask how likely Harris is to win the presidency, if she is chosen as the Democratic the nominee.
This resolves N/A if Kamala Harris is not the Democratic nominee, and YES or NO depending on whether she becomes the president if she is the nominee.
#Politics #USPolitics #2024USPresidentialElection
Jan 15, 5:44pm: #KamalaHarris
Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
Most likely matchup is Harris v Trump, and I think Harris wins that one. Harris v anyone else would be much harder but still possible. If there isn't an edge case, like Biden dying in 2024, Harris would have to win a contested primary, and if she's able to do that it would increase my confidence of her winning in the general.
Related questions
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?
52% chance
Will the Democrats win the 2024 US Presidential election?
51% chance
If Joe Biden becomes the Democratic nominee, will he win the 2024 election?
51% chance
If Joe Biden is the 2024 nominee, will he win the presidential election?
51% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2024 election?
51% chance
Will the democratic party win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
51% chance
Will the Democratic candidate win the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election?
69% chance
If Pete Buttigieg becomes the Democratic nominee, will he win the 2024 election?
34% chance
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Nominee for President in 2024?
4% chance
If Biden wins in 2024, will Kamala Harris be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?
30% chance