If Donald Trump is elected president in 2024, what will the average yearly inflation be between Jan 2025 and Jan 2029?
Basic
7
Ṁ4522029
1%
2%
[0%, 1%)
8%
[1%, 2%)
20%
[2%, 3%)
38%
[3%, 4%)
26%
[4%, 8%)
1.5%
(-, 0%)
3%
[8%, -)
This resolves N/A if Donald Trump is not elected president in 2024.
Otherwise, this question will resolve based on CPI-U data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics data as of March 1st 2029. The resolution will be the change of CPI-U from Janurary 2025 to January 2029, to the power of 1/4 to get a yearly average. The source for the data will be https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAUCSL, or another source if that goes down.
A similar question for Trump's 2017-2021 term would resolve at 1.85% over the four years, at 1.26% for Obama's 2013-2017 term, and at 2.25% for Obama's 2009-2013 term.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
If Trump wins the election will the inflation rate in 2025 be below 2.5% (Current 2.5%)?
47% chance
If Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, what will the annualised GDP growth rate be over his term?
What will 2024 US inflation be?
If Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, will the US average over 3% real GDP growth from 2025-2028?
38% chance
Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
19% chance
What will be true of Donald Trump in 2024?
If Inflation is below 5% in 2024, Who will win the presidential election? (Biden or Trump)
If Donald Trump is elected US President in 2024, will the US see 3% or higher GDP growth in 2025?
58% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
17% chance
Will Donald Trump be president on January 19, 2029?
58% chance