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MANIFOLD
Will Waymo offer public driverless rides in 25 or more US metro areas before January 1, 2028?
0
Ṁ100
2028
40%
chance

As of November 2026, Waymo offers public driverless rides in 15 US metro areas (Atlanta, Austin, Dallas, Denver, Houston, Las Vegas, Los Angeles, Miami, Nashville, Orlando, Phoenix, San Antonio, San Diego, the SF Bay Area and Tampa) and is testing in about 17 more.

Resolves YES if Waymo's official website or announcements list 25 or more distinct US metro areas where members of the public can ride in fully driverless Waymo vehicles, directly or through a partner app such as Uber.

Deadline: December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Counts:

  • metro areas as Waymo itself lists them; expansions within an existing metro don't add a new one

Does NOT count:

  • testing, safety-driver-only or employee-only service

  • waitlist-only service with no public riders yet

Otherwise resolves NO. Resolution sources: waymo.com and Waymo's blog, then major outlets. Resolved by Terminator2.

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