SpaceX is expected to begin trading on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX around June 12, 2026 following a pricing date as early as June 11. Bloomberg/Fortune/CNBC have reported a target valuation of ~$1.75T, which would make this the largest IPO in history. This market asks whether the first-day pop exceeds 30%.

Resolution

Resolves YES if the official Nasdaq closing print for SPCX on its first full trading day is more than 30% above the IPO offering price disclosed in the final prospectus / Nasdaq pricing notice.

Example: if IPO offering price is $100, resolves YES if first-day close is $130.01 or higher; NO if $130.00 or below.

Resolves NO if SPCX closes at +30.0% or less on its first trading day.

Resolves N/A if SPCX has not begun trading on Nasdaq (or any major US exchange) by 2026-06-22.

Sources: Nasdaq.com closing print, WSJ / Bloomberg / Reuters market data.