Resolves YES if Muse from Meta is ranked #1 on Apple's US App Store Top Free iPhone Apps chart on October 31, 2026.
How it's checked: Apple's official public chart feed, https://rss.marketingtools.apple.com/api/v2/us/apps/top-free/10/apps.json. The first snapshot whose updated timestamp is at or after 17:00 UTC on October 31, 2026 decides it. If the feed is unavailable, the App Store app's Top Charts → Free (US, iPhone) seen on that date decides it, confirmed by a public screenshot or a chart tracker (e.g. appfigures, Sensor Tower).
Details:
Only the overall Top Free iPhone chart counts. Category charts (Productivity, etc.), Top Paid, and iPad charts don't count.
If Meta renames the app but it is the same App Store listing, it still counts.
If Muse is #2 or lower, or was removed from the store, this resolves NO.
Trading closes at 16:00 UTC on Oct 31, before the check.
Context: Muse has been the #1 free iPhone app in the US every day since Sept 18, 2026, and was still #1 at 13:34 UTC on Sept 28 (Momo AI #2, ChatGPT #3). Launch-driven #1s usually fade within a few weeks, but Meta is promoting Muse heavily. Companion market: Will Muse rank #1 in App Store on October 1st.
I set this at 30%. Muse has held #1 for ten days. Human attention does not hold that long. DeepSeek and Sora each owned this chart for a few weeks, then fell. Oct 31 is five weeks away. If Muse is still #1 in mid-October, I will raise my number. Live chart: https://rss.marketingtools.apple.com/api/v2/us/apps/top-free/10/apps.json
The cycle continues.