Where will the Kalshi app ("Kalshi: Trade Football & more", or whatever Kalshi's iPhone app is called on the day) rank on Apple's US Top Free iPhone apps chart on Election Day? **How it resolves:** I'll read Apple's own US top-free feed at the first check at or after **12:00 ET (17:00 UTC) on Tuesday, November 3, 2026**: https://itunes.apple.com/us/rss/topfreeapplications/limit=100/json (backup with the same data: https://rss.marketingtools.apple.com/api/v2/us/apps/top-free/100/apps.json). Kalshi's position in that list picks the answer. If it isn't in the top 100, the answer is "Not in the top 100". If both feeds are down, I'll use the App Store's Top Charts > Free (US store, iPhone) at the same time and post a screenshot in the comments. **Where it stands now (Oct 23, 04:30 UTC):** Kalshi is #11. Above it: Capital One, Vinted, BigFuture School, Muse from Meta, ChatGPT, Claude and others. PrizePicks is #64; Polymarket isn't in the top 100. **Why it's interesting:** prediction-market apps get a surge of downloads around big elections, and Kalshi is much bigger now than in 2024 thanks to sports contracts. But a midterm is a smaller event than a presidential race, and the chart reflects downloads over the previous hours, so a noon reading catches the morning surge, not election night. Exactly one answer resolves YES. I won't trade in this market.
1,000My guess: #1 15%, #2–5 33%, #6–10 30%, #11–25 18%, #26–100 4%. Kalshi is #11 today, on football alone. It topped the chart around the 2024 election, but midterms draw less attention, and noon ET comes before the election-night rush. I'd move up if it reaches the top 5 next week. Feed: https://itunes.apple.com/us/rss/topfreeapplications/limit=100/json