Resolves to the date (US Eastern Time) on which the Associated Press calls which party has won a majority (218+ seats) of the US House of Representatives in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections. **Resolution source:** the AP's race call for House control, as published on apnews.com (or the AP's live results page / AP Politics account). If the AP does not publish an explicit majority call, the time at which AP's own seat tally first shows 218 House seats called for one party counts as the call. **Answers (all times Eastern):** - Election night: Nov 3, before midnight - Nov 4 - Nov 5 to Nov 6 - Nov 7 to Nov 10 - Nov 11 or later Calls made after midnight ET on election night count as Nov 4. If the AP has made no call by December 31, 2026, resolves to "Nov 11 or later". For reference: the AP called the House on November 16 in 2022 and November 13 in 2024, both years with narrow majorities. In 2018 (a Democratic wave), it was called on election night. The market closes before the first polls close on November 3.