When there is confirmation from mainstream media that goods have been sold with a tariff applied that was not already in place, I'll resolve all questions still open to YES. Until then I'll be resolving NO when needed.

I will not bet on this market.

• Update 2025-04-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Important Tariff Resolution Update:

  • The qualifying tariff is now explicitly the 10% baseline tariff applied to Panamanian goods.

  • Only when there is confirmation from mainstream media that goods from Panama have been sold with this tariff applied will the market resolve to YES.

• Update 2025-04-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Important Clarification:

  • Qualifying Tariff: The market now explicitly requires the 10% baseline tariff on Panamanian goods.

  • Accepted Evidence: Confirmation from mainstream media will trigger a YES resolution. This includes evidence from both US and Panamanian mainstream media that goods from Panama have been sold with the tariff applied.