Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2032? | Manifold Markets

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2032?

30

closes 2032

21%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If humanity is still around on Jan 1, 2032, then this market resolves to NO. Otherwise resolves to YES.

Daniel Tello sold Ṁ31 NO from 20% to 21%

Ramble bought Ṁ45 NO from 21% to 20%

Daniel Tello bought Ṁ78 NO from 24% to 21%

Timothy bought Ṁ7 YES from 23% to 24%

Travis bought Ṁ45 NO from 26% to 23%

MayMeta bought Ṁ15 YES from 23% to 26%

Jelle bought Ṁ50 NO from 26% to 23%

Daniel Tello sold Ṁ6 YES from 27% to 26%

Daniel Tello sold Ṁ6 YES from 28% to 27%

Daniel Tello sold Ṁ14 YES from 31% to 28%

Daniel Tello bought Ṁ41 YES from 24% to 31%

Irigi sold Ṁ9 NO from 23% to 24%

42irrationalist bought Ṁ100 NO from 30% to 23%

Jonathan Ray filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ10,000 NO at 31%

Martin Randall bought Ṁ25 YES from 25% to 30%

Hans Truman bought Ṁ50 NO from 28% to 25%

Hans Truman bought Ṁ35 NO from 32% to 28%

Martin Randall bought Ṁ100 YES from 20% to 32%

Irigi bought Ṁ10 NO from 21% to 20%

PC bought Ṁ25 YES from 16% to 21%

rockenots bought Ṁ100 NO from 21% to 16%

Simon Grayson sold Ṁ500 NO from 8% to 21%

Simon Grayson bought Ṁ500 NO from 21% to 8%

PC bought Ṁ2 YES from 20% to 21%

PC bought Ṁ5 YES from 19% to 20%

Hans Truman bought Ṁ25 NO from 20% to 19%

PC bought Ṁ5 YES from 19% to 20%

PC filled limit order Ṁ30/Ṁ30 NO at 26%

PC filled limit order Ṁ30/Ṁ30 NO at 27%

PC filled limit order Ṁ30/Ṁ30 NO at 28%

PC filled limit order Ṁ30/Ṁ30 NO at 29%

PC filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ30 NO at 30% (cancelled)

PC bought Ṁ9 YES from 17% to 19%

Isabel J bought Ṁ50 NO from 20% to 17%

Zardoru bought Ṁ10 NO from 21% to 20%

PC bought Ṁ3 YES from 20% to 21%

Reid Johnson bought Ṁ10 NO from 21% to 20%

PC sold Ṁ3 YES from 22% to 21%

PC sold Ṁ4 YES from 23% to 22%

PC sold Ṁ2 YES from 24% to 23%

Nikita Skovoroda sold Ṁ10 YES from 27% to 24%

Nikita Skovoroda bought Ṁ10 YES from 24% to 27%

PC sold Ṁ3 YES from 25% to 24%

PC sold Ṁ4 YES from 26% to 25%

PC created limit order for Ṁ5 NO at 27% (cancelled)

PC created limit order for Ṁ10 NO at 28% (cancelled)

PC created limit order for Ṁ20 NO at 29% (cancelled)

PC created limit order for Ṁ30 NO at 30% (cancelled)

PC created limit order for Ṁ10 NO at 30% (cancelled)

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ8/Ṁ11 YES at 26% (cancelled)

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