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Will resolve in 1 week by random sampling. Open to people giving extreme cases for a best case estimation

@Quillist can you resolve this? On wikipedia it lists under non-qualified write-ins with at least 3 votes that biden got 60 votes. Idk if htat includes all the possible states but it seems prtty suggestive.

@mods I believe this market should resolve No?

@Fay42 @Quillist is still active, can you take care of resolving this? Thanks.

@Quillist how do you intend to resolve this? Afaict there isn't a typical national report of individual write-ins. Also Biden isn't registered as a write-in in states like California that require that so idk if they will even bother to tally that. This indicates that in 2020 there were 180k or so total misc write-in votes reported, and this NJ county I found while googling had ~1% of their write-ins go to Joe Biden so I suspect that the overall total won't be anywhere near 50k but it's possible we won't get explicit confirmation. Is absence of coverage of a large amount of biden write-ins enough?

@Fay42 that's helpful Intel. I suppose we can wait to see some estimates of total write-ins and then sample 14 or more random counties, and if even the most (Biden heavy county * total write ins) < 50k we could consider this a certain enough NO resolution. If not, then I'll do some more thorough investigating

@Quillist you have a timeline on resolving this?