Will a USA lab demonstrate diamagnetism in an LK-99-like sample before Canada?
13
250Ṁ973
resolved Oct 26
Resolved
YES

LK-99 is an alleged superconductor facing worldwide scrutiny and seeing many replication attempts. It has been shown that a substance which exhibits diamagnetism can be produced by doping lead-apatite with copper. Will an American lab replicate and demonstrate this diamagnetism (levitation) before a Canadian lab?

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predictedYES

I think that without more detailed data from McCalip's sample than I'm aware of being public, it either hasn't demonstrated diamagnetism or we don't know whether it has. It probably is diamagnetic, see my comments on /AvaHowell/will-lk99-be-proven-to-be-diamagnet for reasoning. But I don't think it has demonstrated that. See this paper for some discussion of how the effect could be ferro- or diamagnetism:

https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.08594

It's possible we'll eventually get data from a US or Canadian lab. But it seems to me this market should get an update or an N/A resolution.

@TaoGaetz some users in the comment section are wondering if you would extend the deadline or otherwise provide guidance.

It's okay to have a closed-but-not-resolved market, but a lot of people dislike the situation because their mana is tied up indefinitely.

If anyone has a domain expert who can show definitive resolution proof one way or the other, that could also solve the issue.

predictedYES

Can this either resolve or get an extension on the close date?

Is this sufficient for a YES resolution (assuming no Canadian lab did it before)?
https://twitter.com/andrewmccalip/status/1687405505604734978

Does this resolve N/A if neither does before September (your current close date)?

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