Defining a "world leader" as the president/prime minister/highest-ranking official of a country, beginning January 1st 2023 and ending if someone is assassinated, or a world leader that is in power as of January 1st 2023 but later steps down. Assassination is either definitive (e.g. someone is shot on live TV) or a situation where there is a general consensus of experts/an UN body/some other indisputable evidence there is foul play (e.g. someone falls out a window).
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If we went with something like "UN member state" that would rule out Taiwan, Kosovo, Palestine, and the Vatican. US recognition would rule out Kurdistan and Somaliland.
If we went with something like "is either A (member of the UN, or non-member observer state of the UN), or B (recognized by 10 or more UN states), that would include all of the above, and likely a few other edge cases.
Defining a "world leader" as the president/prime minister/highest-ranking official of a country, beginning January 1st 2023 and ending if someone is assassinated, or a world leader that is in power as of January 1st 2023 but later steps down.
This makes it sound like someone who comes to power in the year 2023 and is then assassinated doesn't count as a "world leader", but I assume that's not the intended meaning?
@Gen If multiple reputable sources suspect foul play (e.g. he didn't just happen to fall out of a window or drink polonium tea), then yes, but if it's just rumormongering then no. If someone began the year as a world leader, and later steps down/is replaced, they still count. I'd also expect that if someone were to be assassinated it would be someone currently in a position of power anyway.
@TaiRuiYang I appreciate the clarification. As an example, would you have counted Shinzo Abe? He was definitely assassinated, and the longest serving prime minister Japan ever had. BUT he was 2 years out of office when it happened
@a and (according to that list) only five of the last 20 years had at least one assassination
@meefburger 1 out of the last 10, 26 out of the last 50. So I guess it depends on the relevance of short-term vs. long-term data.
@StevenK The 2 cases in 2021 seem unrelated, so maybe for evidence purposes that's like if it happened in 2 different years. On the other hand, "Dรฉby was injured on April 19 while commanding troops on the frontline fighting the militants and died April 20" according to Wikipedia, and it's not clear to me if that counts as an assassination.