What will the margin be in the NJ-11 special election
9
Ṁ175Ṁ702resolved Apr 28
100%83%
Analilia Mejia (D) wins by more than 20%
0.4%
Joe Hathaway (R) wins by more than 5%
0.5%
Joe Hathaway (R) wins by 0-5%
0.5%
Analilia Mejia (D) wins by 0-5%
0.5%
Analilia Mejia (D) wins by 5-10%
0.6%
Analilia Mejia (D) wins by 10-15%
14%
Analilia Mejia (D) wins by 15-20%
The results have not yet been certified but given how the late arriving votes have gone it's clear Mejia will win by over 20%. Currently she's winning by 20.8% and that lead has been growing
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@TW5z0p It seems like it could still be too early to tell even when the votes are at >95%? Unless the intention is what the margin is when the vote count is >95%, regardless of final margin.