Will artificial intelligence be directly tied to an unemployment rise in the USA by the end of 2025?
➕
Plus
20
Ṁ629
2026
21%
chance

As artificial intelligence continues to solve more difficult problems, will unemployment in the United States of America go up? More specifically, will AI adoption be directly linked to significant unemployment increases? AI adoption must be directly tied to a 5% or higher point increase in the unemployment rate from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

US unemployment is around 4.3%. Would “5% or higher point increase” mean it raising to 9.3%? Over a single reporting period, or total rise from some particular baseline?

How would this resolve if >0 people have lost their jobs because of AI automation, but they make up a negligible percent of the increase in unemployment?

@JonahWeissman As stated in the description: “AI adoption must be directly tied to a 5% or higher increase in the unemployment rate from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.“

5% or higher points of increase in unemployment need to be attributed to as being directly tied to AI adoption.

bought Ṁ10 NO from 18% to 17%
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules