10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.5%+ on 7/1/2025?
8
1kṀ345Jun 30
48%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Using the closing price on Jul 1st, 2025 reported by CNBC here: https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y
If it is 4.5% or greater, this market resolves as YES
Otherwise it resolves to NO
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30, 2025?
6% chance
10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.5%+ on 12/31/2025?
71% chance
Will the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield fall below 3.5% before July 28, 2025?
5% chance
Will the 10 Year Treasury Yield at closing on 12/31/2025 be 4% or higher?
59% chance
10yr treasury yield hits 5.5% by EOY2025?
20% chance
US 10-year treasury trades above 7% before 2026
7% chance
10-year US treasuries yield >10% any time before 2026
5% chance
What will be the highest treasury 10 year yield this year?
63% chance
Will 10-year treasury yields in 2032 be higher than 3.5%?
79% chance
Will 30-year treasury yields go above 7% at any point before 2027?
30% chance