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Will the moon have its own time zone before 2026
Will the moon have its own time zone before 2026
41
1kṀ19172026
43%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
e.g. as related to this NY Times article https://archive.is/u5Oru
True if the proposal is accepted by at least NASA + the European Space Agency
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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