Will every digit 0-9 appear in the S&P 500 closing price for 10 days from Oct 2 - Oct 13?
51
935Ṁ26k
resolved Oct 14
Resolved
NO

We only care about the integer part cutting off any fraction without rounding.. We are only referring to the closing price.

This is for a timespan of 10 days. If there is a holiday or other day without a unique closing price in the interval due to the market not having been open, we will extend the deadline to get another day until there are 10 days included.

If after the week, from within the ten closing prices, every decimal digit appears at least once, this resolves YES. Otherwise NO. It can resolve early.

Example prices:

  • day 1: closes at 127.45 -> 1,2,7 seen

  • day 2: closes at 139.9907 -> 1,2,3,7,9 seen

  • Etc

If all seen by the end, YES, otherwise NO

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predictedNO

Resolves NO

predictedNO

Looks like we missed eh

7 has been eliminated. Only 1 remains.

predictedYES

I'm considering largely the length of days for the likelihood for this happen against all odds. October 2-10 is 8 days and that may be a great advantage for the bet

predictedNO

@OmonefeEdewor only five closing prices per week, none on weekends

predictedNO

I'm tracking and summarizing progress on the "15 day" market here: /Ernie/will-every-digit-09-appear-in-the-s-67c658747695

For arbitrage

@MrLuke255 hmm how about overlapping two week periods for more complex arb?

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