Will every digit 0-9 appear in the S&P 500 closing price for 10 days from Sep 18-Sep 29?
63
į¹€26k
resolved Sep 29
Resolved
NO

We only care about the integer part cutting off any fraction without rounding.. We are only referring to the closing price.

This is for a timespan of 10 days. If there is a holiday or other day without a unique closing price in the interval due to the market not having been open, we will extend the deadline to get another day until there are 10 days included.

If after the week, from within the ten closing prices, every decimal digit appears at least once, this resolves YES. Otherwise NO. It can resolve early.

Example prices:

  • day 1: closes at 127.45 -> 1,2,7 seen

  • day 2: closes at 139.9907 -> 1,2,3,7,9 seen

  • Etc

If all seen by the end, YES, otherwise NO

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predicted YES
Hungry Stock Market GIF by Naru Naru
predicted YES
Sad Leonardo Dicaprio GIF
predicted NO

Looks like we hit 4288

Day ten

We got to: {0, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7, 8, 9}

We missed: {1, 6} - so close!

Thanks for playing everybody!!!!!!! Tune in next week for later versions!

predicted YES

Day nine 4299

We are at {0, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7, 9}

Tomorrow we need... 1,6,8

We can hit 4186, 4186, 4618, 4681. But it's a long shot. I'll bet it down for you

predicted YES

Day eight: 4,274

We are at {0, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7}, no change

okay guys we just can't get a break. We still need quite a few digits.

predicted YES

Day seven: 4273

We are at {0, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7}, no change

We just need {1,6,8,9} in three days.

We could hit 4289, 4298, 4268, 4198, or many other nice numbers to improve the situation!

@StrayClimb Manifold's YES bias in action. This is a perfectly good situation imo

predicted YES

/StrayClimb/will-every-digit-09-appear-in-the-s-22adc1b1b3db

/StrayClimb/will-every-digit-09-appear-in-the-s-7fb9aa0b9f03

Did you know it's technically impossible to lose more than N coin flips in a row, for some N?

predicted YES

We could hit 4316, 4389 and be done, easy. Don't give up!!!

predicted YES

Day six 4337

We are at {0, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7}

predicted YES

day five: 4320

We are at {0, 2, 3, 4, 5}, no change

Well, half done in the first half of the timespan... that's good... right?

predicted YES

Brutal first week guys.

predicted YES

Day four: 4330

We are at {0, 2, 3, 4, 5}, no change from yesterday.

6 days left to get just 5 digits! This should be doable right?

predicted YES

Day three: 4402

We are at {0, 2, 3, 4, 5}

predicted YES

Is anybody cross-playing these with the markets about huge spikes / drops? If one of those happens you might get some unexpected digits for free!

predicted YES

Are you gonna lay down and just let the dice of fate crush you?

@StrayClimb I give it about 19% (two random numbers/d, 8 days to go). Will geht my loses back via my new No Payout.

predicted YES

@Willi yes... What gets me is that it's not actually random, particularly the tens digit. I was surprised by the big drop yesterday.

predicted YES

Day two result: 4443

Wow so close to 4444!

We are at {3,4,5} no change from yesterday with eight days to go.

predicted YES

Day 1 result: 4453. Could have been worse 3 digits down. We are at: {3,4,5}

Interesting market. Confirming, this is not counting any of the "change" i.e. if it closes at $123.45 the .45 would not be included, correct?

predicted YES

@dieselbaby1337 correct. Just the integer part of digits excluding leading zero