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MANIFOLD
Will an F-35 be lost by the US in 2025
27
Ṁ1kṀ4.3k
resolved Jan 29
Resolved
YES

Lost for any reason. Within 2025 calendar year.

Counts

  • Crash

  • Lost

  • Captured

  • Disappeared

  • Stolen by adversary

Does not count

  • Unusable plane due to bugs

  • Repossessed by creditors

  • Unavailable due to conflict with former ally who no longer allows us physical access

  • We still control it but it can't take off due to runway damage or runway unavailability, even intentional

  • Sold or transferred to ally or other

Market context
Military
F-35
Aviation
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@Ernie pls resolve

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 91% order

https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/f35-fighter-jet-crash-alaska-air-force-base/

Looks like the US has written off 7 F-35's over the course of 10 years (probably this is an undercount). I presume that implies a 70% chance of losing a jet any one year

The link you’ve posted takes me to an electric bike manual

@QuestionableQuentin That's hilarious - I had some bike work to do at the time. Here is the correct link: https://www.f-16.net/aircraft-database/F-35/mishaps-and-accidents/year/2024/

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