When Prigozhin dies, resolves according to the net of YES and NO shares bought last 24 hours
7
150Ṁ108
resolved Dec 25
Resolved as
50%

i.e. imagine he dies at a certain time. At that point, I will determine the point in time the story first broke to the front page of the guardian UK, e.g. by looking at the time on the article such as this:

(https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/jun/27/lordstown-motors-electric-vehicle-maker-trump-ohio-bankruptcy)

Then, I will total the total number of YES and NO shares to determine if more NO or YES were created in the previous 24 hours. If there are more YES votes or an equal number, I will resolve YES. If more NO, I will resovle NO.

For the purposes of this market selling 100 yes counts as buying 100 no, etc.

Yevgeney Prigozhin
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ4
2Ṁ0
3Ṁ0

People are also trading

Sort by:

resolve

predictedNO

It seems no shares were bought at all. This is not specified in the claim but I think resolving to 50% or NA is fair. Thoughts?

@Ernie you should shut this market, at least

Lol what is the point of this market?

Note that nearly equal numbers of yes and no shares are always created on any trade. (It's not exactly equal because some are in the AMM)

predictedNO

@jack yes perhaps it was a late night creation for me.

what are votes?

@AndrewG thanks. I've clarified that it means no and yes shares in description

People are also trading

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules