Joel Haver wins an academy award before 2030
closes 2030

Joel Haver is an amazingly great indie film maker who doesn't care about the Academy Awards at all.

Related markets

Ramez Naam publishes a novel before 203141%
Public figure comes out as a living performance art project before 203022%
Scott Alexander publishes a "Death with Dignity" style post before 203013%
WW3: by 203020%
WW3: by 204025%
Covid-related fiction movie comes out grossing >30m USD in the US before 203369%
My friend, a Yale Economics PhD in his 4th year, will be in academia in 2029.49%
Pickleball will be an Olympic sport by 203732%
The Elam ending will used in an Olympics basketball game before 204048%
WW3: by 205036%
Techno-Optimism for 203044%
Wuhan Institute of Virology defector before 204043%
There will be a change to the permanent members of the UN Security council before 204037%
Cloned historical figure born before 203621%
Midjourney will be able to create images of people with different facial expressions before 202480%
Civilian nuclear accident in the US before 203023%
"Shangri-La diet" theory becomes widely accepted by scientists before 2030.9%
Resolves No in 20301%
Resolves No in 21002%
Daniel Kokotajlo’s P(Doom) falls below 50% before the end of 202717%