'got':4 'lucki':5 'overconfid':1 'rando':2

Hacker who got access to this information somehow

'access':4 'got':3 'hacker':1 'inform':7 'somehow':8

A rationalist who made a very good educated guess based on evidence 

'base':10 'educ':8 'evid':12 'good':7 'guess':9 'made':4 'rationalist':2

'account':7 'manifold':6 'person':2 'second':5

Someone who has never completed a half marathon

'complet':5 'half':7 'marathon':8 'never':4 'someon':1

Someone who has fake accounts and made large bets on each for each plausible VP and can now celebrate on one because one came true

'account':5 'bet':9 'came':24 'celebr':19 'fake':4 'larg':8 'made':7 'one':21,23 'plausibl':14 'someon':1 'true':25 'vp':15

 started trading 1.5 months ago. 100% of their trades have bet on JD Vance as VP pick. They went all-in and their portfolio value tripled after today’s announcement.

Market resolves to an admission by Mars (I’ll take them at their word unless they’re obviously lying/joking), my best guess if some info comes to light, participant consensus if there is one and no better info comes to light, or NA at close if there’s been no new info and no participant consensus.