Which gaming companies will shut down by end 2030?
➕
Plus
27
Ṁ4095
2031
3%
Nintendo
7%
Valve
9%
Devolver
10%
Nvidia
11%
Double Fine
12%
Epic
12%
Microsoft
16%
Sony
18%
Roblox
23%
Xbox Game Studios
24%
Nexon
25%
Paradox
27%
Bandai Namco
27%
Take-Two
29%
Square Enix
29%
Konami
30%
Humble Bundle
30%
Unity
30%
Electronic Arts
31%
Activision Blizzard

The video game industry is currently at the end of a long consolidation period of a 20-30 year economic-creative cycle I define loosely as:

Consolidation -> Stagnation -> Fracture -> Innovation Boom -> Re-Establishment -> Consolidation...

But due to pressures after a COVID-era mini boom and investment decline across tech, it seems the Stagnation period is hitting full swing with mass layoffs. 2023 was a rough year for workers and yet 2024 is already far worse.

As major studios, publishers, and related tech companies teeter with overgrown bloat post-Consolidation, how many will end up so far overexposed that they collapse? This question attempts to track one aspect of that.

Feel free to add any relevant game companies, whether they be development studios, publishers, distros, engine providers, hardware suppliers, or related tech; subsidiaries, independently-owned, or umbrella companies; big or small. Ambiguous answers may be renamed for precision.

Each will resolve YES if by 2030 they:

  • announce they're shutting down

  • they're a full subsidiary and their parent company announces shut down

  • they layoff 90%+ of their total workforce

  • they're forced to fracture by antitrust litigation

  • they're purchased and sold for parts

  • or they're disbanded for any other reason

Laying off a whole named division doesn't count unless it's listed here separately.

Otherwise they resolve NO after 2030.

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sold Ṁ5 YES

They've been given the debt from the Embracer split!

@Marnix interesting choice by embracer! I guess it's the least volatile of the three?

@Stralor entirely possible. They're mainly board games, so they might just be expecting it to fail, too? (Technically speaking, I probably should've put Twin Sails Interactive, since Asmodee is mostly the board game half)

even though it's expensive af, this question space is near and dear to my heart so I've made another about large layoffs:

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