Which of these companies will be largest in 2030?
Plus
20
Ṁ6362030
52%
Apple
13%
Microsoft
12%
OpenAI
10%
Amazon
7%
Alphabet
3%
Meta
3%
IBM
Resolves to the company with the largest market capitalization.
If one company avoids bankruptcy the longest it will resolve to them even if it's before 2030. If in 2030 the economy is structured very diffently, and consensus is that market cap. is an outdated metric, will resolve according to my best judgement.
If a company splits the one that keeps the name will be used. If neither retain the name then the larger of the split companies will be used.
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@CS10K Perhaps, although I feel like market cap. is used more. I'll consider changing it although I assume the impact on market resolution is small
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