Which of these companies will be largest in 2030?

Question

Resolves to the company with the largest market capitalization.

If one company avoids bankruptcy the longest it will resolve to them even if it's before 2030. If in 2030 the economy is structured very diffently, and consensus is that market cap. is an outdated metric, will resolve according to my best judgement.

If a company splits the one that keeps the name will be used. If neither retain the name then the larger of the split companies will be used.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Alphabet, followed by Microsoft and Apple are most likely. See the market for live updates (31 traders, as of Jul 16, 2026).

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