Which of these companies will be largest in 2030?
19
158
655
2030
52%
Apple
13%
Microsoft
12%
OpenAI
10%
Amazon
7%
Alphabet
3%
IBM
3%
Meta

Resolves to the company with the largest market capitalization.

If one company avoids bankruptcy the longest it will resolve to them even if it's before 2030. If in 2030 the economy is structured very diffently, and consensus is that market cap. is an outdated metric, will resolve according to my best judgement.

If a company splits the one that keeps the name will be used. If neither retain the name then the larger of the split companies will be used.

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Tesla is missing from this list

@CelebratedWhale Shouldn’t biggest be defined as enterprise value, not market cap?

sold Ṁ5 of IBM YES

@CS10K Perhaps, although I feel like market cap. is used more. I'll consider changing it although I assume the impact on market resolution is small

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