Which of these companies will be largest in 2030?
31
1kṀ14372030
28%
Alphabet
24%
Microsoft
19%
Apple
17%
Amazon
7%
OpenAI
3%
Meta
1.4%
IBM
Resolves to the company with the largest market capitalization.
If one company avoids bankruptcy the longest it will resolve to them even if it's before 2030. If in 2030 the economy is structured very diffently, and consensus is that market cap. is an outdated metric, will resolve according to my best judgement.
If a company splits the one that keeps the name will be used. If neither retain the name then the larger of the split companies will be used.
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@CS10K Perhaps, although I feel like market cap. is used more. I'll consider changing it although I assume the impact on market resolution is small
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