Add fun answers! Would love the chronology of things that Manifold will think would happen, however to keep the market relatively organized:

I'll have Full Discretion in N/Aing answers that don't follow these Rules:

The Answer must be an event that can reasonably verifiably occur.

Aim to add answers that should start within 2%-98% as to make them interesting (this will especially be important when/if she does release a wedding date).

Answers can't be deterministic, approaching deterministic (i.e. the 2024-25 NFL Season starts), or have a known date of occurrence when added.

Answers shouldn't be repeats/variations of the verbiage of other answers, (i.e. I would N/A "The Washington Commanders clinch a playoff berth" as "The Carolina Panthers clinch a playoff berth" is already there). This mostly applies to sports topics. Similar topics are allowed though as answers (i.e. NFL) as long as they don't overload the market (I'd probably warn in the comments). Additionally foreign policy questions may end up having similar wording (X invades Y) so this will probably lean towards leniency.

No answers that refer to either this market itself, or other answers (in singular or as a group), generically meta-answers.

Don't repeat these answers that already exist in other markets:

/strutheo/will-taylor-swift-get-married-befor-1c0bea571297

/strutheo/will-taylor-swift-get-married-befor-4d2cb3532798

/strutheo/will-taylor-swift-get-married-befor-c172eb997643

/strutheo/will-taylor-swift-get-married-befor-f1bb90be7133

/strutheo/will-taylor-swift-get-married-befor-bdee43f8f26a

/strutheo/will-taylor-swift-get-married-befor-0af0f6cfe988

/strutheo/will-taylor-swift-get-married-befor

/strutheo/will-skate-4-release-before-taylor

Feel free to ask any questions (or if I N/A an answer you don't think is fair). I'll generally lean on the side of allowing things, especially if they are fun.

Banned Answer Topics

Meta-Answers

Other Clarifications

Answers occur from the start of this market (January 23rd 2024)

Answers that become Non-Achievable (i.e. Nate Silver dies so he can't win a WSOP bracelet) will not resolve "YES" until Taylor Swift marries.

If, Taylor Swift happens to never marry, before, um, she dies, the results can still resolve case by case to "NO" or "N/A" (in the case neither become achievable). If she announces she is choosing not to marry, that would not count as resolution.

• Update 2025-09-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Bitcoin answer updated: Now reads "Bitcoin goes below $100,000" to reflect it was added when BTC was above $100,000; it resolves YES only if BTC subsequently drops below $100,000.