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MANIFOLD
Will Manifold correctly predict the The Destiny Awards 2023 (TDA2023) - Mental Health Awareness Award of the year?
5
Ṁ110Ṁ900
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
YES

Using the market that has the all of the actual nominees:

Let me know if anybody has an issue with using that Market instead of others.

This will be resolved by looking at what the percentages are before the results are displayed (it should be obvious the moment of reveal if I'm not able to capture every question beforehand). If the entry with the highest percentage wins, this resolves as "YES", any other and it will resolve as "NO".

"Other" represents if something outside of what is listed ends up winning (if it's the highest).

Using Manifold percentages at 7EST 12/30, according to this tweet:

https://twitter.com/Destiny_Awards/status/1740165948274045046

Please no insider trading from anybody helping with/compiling the votes for the Destiny awards, that would be lame (plus I'll call you out as it might be obvious).

I will not bet on this market for fairness since I still want to bet on the main markets.

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Brittany Simon was the highest with 71% at 7pm (results are now in the document referenced in the tweet below), meaning Manifold was correct.

Using Manifold percentages at 7EST 12/30, according to this tweet:

https://twitter.com/Destiny_Awards/status/1740165948274045046

The market this references is missing Brittany Simon, who I think is a frontrunner, sooooooooo

@Tumbles If another market is made and she is included, I will switch to that market. If not I'll resolve N/A if Brittany Simon wins

predictedNO

@StopPunting I've created the fixed market

@Tumbles Thanks! Updated