Will Manifold correctly predict the The Destiny Awards 2023 (TDA2023) - Debate of the Year?
9
203
130
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
N/A

Using this market for reference as it has the most traders as of creating this question:

Let me know if anybody has an issue with using that Market instead of another.

This will be resolved by looking at what the final percentages are before the results are displayed on stream (it should be obvious the moment of reveal if I'm not able to capture every question beforehand). If the entry with the highest percentage on Manifold wins, this resolves as "YES", any other and it will resolve as "NO".

"Other" counts as any other debate in the world (unless the winner was split out from it beforehand)

Using Manifold percentages at 7EST 12/30, according to this tweet:

https://twitter.com/Destiny_Awards/status/1740165948274045046

Please no insider trading from anybody helping with/compiling the votes for the Destiny awards, that would be lame (plus I'll call you out as it will be obvious).

I will not bet on this market for fairness since I still want to bet on the main markets.

Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:

Willing to here arguments on this market.

The Language:

If the entry with the highest percentage on Manifold wins, this resolves as "YES", any other and it will resolve as "NO".

Meant to imply "any other Manifold entry". Since the winner was not listed, I think neither criteria was fulfilled (and the main market can't add answers), so this market should resolve N/A.

Let me know any argument otherwise.

Using Manifold percentages at 7EST 12/30, according to this tweet:

https://twitter.com/Destiny_Awards/status/1740165948274045046

More related questions