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MANIFOLD
Will Manifold correctly predict the The Destiny Awards 2023 (TDA2023) - Frenemy of the year?
4
Ṁ110Ṁ575
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO

Using this market for reference as it has the most traders as of creating this question:

Let me know if anybody has an issue with using that Market instead of another.

This will be resolved by looking at what the final percentages are before the results are displayed on stream (it should be obvious the moment of reveal if I'm not able to capture every question beforehand). If the entry with the highest percentage on Manifold wins, this resolves as "YES", any other and it will resolve as "NO".

"Other" counts as everybody else in the world (unless the winner was split out from it beforehand)

Using Manifold percentages at 7EST 12/30, according to this tweet:

https://twitter.com/Destiny_Awards/status/1740165948274045046

Please no insider trading from anybody helping with/compiling the votes for the Destiny awards, that would be lame (plus I'll call you out as it will be obvious).

I will not bet on this market for fairness since I still want to bet on the main markets.

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Referenced market closed on Dec 27th with Myron winning at 79%, differing from the document now updated in below comment, meaning Manifold was incorrect.

Using Manifold percentages at 7EST 12/30, according to this tweet:

https://twitter.com/Destiny_Awards/status/1740165948274045046