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NFL Week 7 - Prop Bets
26
Ṁ4.9kṀ30k
Nov 28
99%
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
99%
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
99%
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
99%
Any team scores 40+ points
99%
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
99%
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
99%
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
99%
Overtime
99%
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
99%
A player gets an Octopus
99%
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
99%
Fake Punt
98.3%
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game
98%
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
98%
A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)
94%
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
94%
Fat Guy Touchdown*
93%
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
92%
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
91%
35% or higher Kick Return rate

2026-27 NFL Season - Week Seven

*** Prop Clarifications

  • At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

    • Favorite based on DraftKings closing line

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Based on closing DraftKings lines

  • A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

    • If consensus the next week is that the player will be out for the season

    • Will lean towards "YES" (i.e. if the vibe is the player is 75/25 I will resolve YES)

    • Based on my subjective opinion (but feel free to give input)

  • Fake Punt Attempt

    • If a team lines up in punt formation and then snaps the ball with the intention to gain the first down instead of punting

  • Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

    • The quarterback that started the game is removed due to neither an injury, nor due to a blowout

    • Subjective judgement will be used, but generally these fulfilling these three criteria will be required for 99% of cases

      • No Injury

      • If it is the 4th quarter then the game has to be within 16 points (2 possessions)

      • Its not clear that the QB removed from the game will start the next game

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Resolves NO if there are no Double Digit Underdogs

  • Fat Guy Touchdown

    • A player that would be considered fat scores a TD

    • All O-linemen, and DTs scoring would count (regardless of how)

      • Reserve the right for other positions if they are fat enough (if you want, ask me a player beforehand)

  • Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)

    • Resolves at 50% for ties, weighted (so if there are two games tied for the top already, and this week adds another, it would resolve at 33%)

  • A 4th and 11+ is converted

    • First downs as the result of penalties do not count

    • This logic applies similar to any other prop like this

      • "(no plays)" in the box score do not count as a play

  • Top 5 Super Bowl favorites

    • If there is a tie for 5th (or like 4-6th), this will resolve at 50%

  • Will a championship belt change teams?

    • There are unique 4 Championship Belts currently in play

      • (Markets to be made)

  • In general, lines that use betting lines or props will rely on the DraftKings odds

Add your own props! Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after this Week's game slate completes!

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I know you guys are used to this structure, and you are welcome to continue creating these markets - but I'd love to know what would work to move people towards the new sports dashboard.

You can create markets linked to official matches, and they will appear alongside those matches in the feed. We have already seen an acceleration in new user activity on those markets/sports, and it would be even better if we had more props visible there.

Let me know how we can/should change things to improve the new sports experience

@Gen I guess for many of these, they don't neatly attach to any specific match, and perhaps this format makes sense as-is, being surfaced in the community tab

bought Ṁ10 YES

Buccaneers v Panthers
https://www.espn.co.uk/nfl/playbyplay/_/gameId/401873018
Safety

9:09 - 2nd

Zyon McCollum Defensive PAT Conversion

This is a safety?

My research tells me there is:
1. Safety during standard game play
2 A conversion safety scoring 1 point

3 A Defensive Two-Point Conversion (aka "Pick-Two")

This was 3 which it seems is not a safety, despite ESPN using that term in describing the play.
@StopPunting can you confirm this?

@StopPunting Giants were around +10. I didn't see where it closed.

@travis yeah I have it closing at 10.5

bought Ṁ600 YES

@StopPunting Colts v Vikings. Colts missed 2, Vikings missed 1

bought Ṁ350 YES

At least one missed kicking extra point attempt

Cairo Santos 58 Yd Field Goal

At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Falcons 2nd Q: N.Folk extra point is No Good, Hit Right Upright
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game Burrow for Bengals