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NFL Week 1 - Prop Bets
5
Ṁ4.9kṀ1.3k
Sep 14
96%
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*
80%
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
75%
Pick Six
74%
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
61%
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
61%
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
61%
Will a championship belt change teams?*
59%
A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts
55%
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
55%
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
55%
MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)
55%
Any team scores 40+ points
55%
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games
55%
Overtime
50%
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
50%
Safety Scored
50%
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
50%
Fake Punt
50%
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
50%
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT

2026-27 NFL Season - Week One

*** Prop Clarifications

  • At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

    • Favorite based on DraftKings closing line

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Based on closing DraftKings lines

  • A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

    • If consensus the next week is that the player will be out for the season

    • Will lean towards "YES" (i.e. if the vibe is the player is 75/25 I will resolve YES)

    • Based on my subjective opinion (but feel free to give input)

  • Fake Punt Attempt

    • If a team lines up in punt formation and then snaps the ball with the intention to gain the first down instead of punting

  • Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

    • The quarterback that started the game is removed due to neither an injury, nor due to a blowout

    • Subjective judgement will be used, but generally these fulfilling these three criteria will be required for 99% of cases

      • No Injury

      • If it is the 4th quarter then the game has to be within 16 points (2 possessions)

      • Its not clear that the QB removed from the game will start the next game

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Resolves NO if there are no Double Digit Underdogs

  • Fat Guy Touchdown

    • A player that would be considered fat scores a TD

    • All O-linemen, and DTs scoring would count (regardless of how)

      • Reserve the right for other positions if they are fat enough (if you want, ask me a player beforehand)

  • Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)

    • Resolves at 50% for ties, weighted (so if there are two games tied for the top already, and this week adds another, it would resolve at 33%)

  • A 4th and 11+ is converted

    • First downs as the result of penalties do not count

    • This logic applies similar to any other prop like this

      • "(no plays)" in the box score do not count as a play

  • Top 5 Super Bowl favorites

    • If there is a tie for 5th (or like 4-6th), this will resolve at 50%

  • Will a championship belt change teams?

    • There are unique 4 Championship Belts currently in play

      • (Markets to be made)

  • In general, lines that use betting lines or props will rely on the DraftKings odds

Add your own props! Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after this Week's game slate completes!

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