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MANIFOLD
NFL Week 6 - Prop Bets
39
Ṁ4.9kṀ49k
in 10 hours
37%
Fat Guy Touchdown*
Resolved
YES
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Resolved
YES
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
Resolved
YES
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
Resolved
YES
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
Resolved
YES
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
Resolved
YES
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Resolved
YES
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Resolved
YES
35% or higher Kick Return rate
Resolved
YES
A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)
Resolved
YES
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Resolved
YES
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points
Resolved
YES
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
Resolved
YES
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
Resolved
YES
A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts
Resolved
YES
All Starting Rookie QBs lose
Resolved
YES
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
Resolved
YES
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
Resolved
YES
Overtime
Resolved
50%
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games

2026-27 NFL Season - Week Six

*** Prop Clarifications

  • At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

    • Favorite based on DraftKings closing line

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Based on closing DraftKings lines

  • A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

    • If consensus the next week is that the player will be out for the season

    • Will lean towards "YES" (i.e. if the vibe is the player is 75/25 I will resolve YES)

    • Based on my subjective opinion (but feel free to give input)

  • Fake Punt Attempt

    • If a team lines up in punt formation and then snaps the ball with the intention to gain the first down instead of punting

  • Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

    • The quarterback that started the game is removed due to neither an injury, nor due to a blowout

    • Subjective judgement will be used, but generally these fulfilling these three criteria will be required for 99% of cases

      • No Injury

      • If it is the 4th quarter then the game has to be within 16 points (2 possessions)

      • Its not clear that the QB removed from the game will start the next game

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Resolves NO if there are no Double Digit Underdogs

  • Fat Guy Touchdown

    • A player that would be considered fat scores a TD

    • All O-linemen, and DTs scoring would count (regardless of how)

      • Reserve the right for other positions if they are fat enough (if you want, ask me a player beforehand)

  • Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)

    • Resolves at 50% for ties, weighted (so if there are two games tied for the top already, and this week adds another, it would resolve at 33%)

  • A 4th and 11+ is converted

    • First downs as the result of penalties do not count

    • This logic applies similar to any other prop like this

      • "(no plays)" in the box score do not count as a play

  • Top 5 Super Bowl favorites

    • If there is a tie for 5th (or like 4-6th), this will resolve at 50%

  • Will a championship belt change teams?

    • There are unique 4 Championship Belts currently in play

      • (Markets to be made)

  • In general, lines that use betting lines or props will rely on the DraftKings odds

Add your own props! Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after this Week's game slate completes!

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bought Ṁ673 NO

@ShunyaoYan which fat guy TD?

For “Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game”: the Giants’ official recap says McCarthy replaced Winston with 11:25 left in Q4, trailing 34-10. Does this qualify, or is it excluded by the blowout/within-16-points guidance? I see that the criteria allow subjective discretion, so I’m asking about this specific case rather than assuming a resolution.

https://www.giants.com/news/instant-analysis-giants-fall-to-saints-34-27

bought Ṁ373 NO

Based on the definition I probably wouldn't consider it a benching (the comeback was unique) but I think I should broaden the criteria in the future as it did feel subjectively more like a benching