Will Qiaochu Yuan get a job for a period of time lasting more than 4 months by 2030?

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality novel to a prompt?

Will a book claimed to be written by an AI make the NYT best seller list before the end of 2024?

Will there be an AI "lost manuscript" hoax by the end of 2025?

In 2028, will an AI be able to write poetry indistinguishable from that of a great Romantic poet?

Will an AI produce encyclopedia-worthy philosophy by 2026?

Will an algorithm be able to write a full-length book indistinguisable from a human author before September 2024?

Will an AI be able to write a passable novel before 2028?

Will a second Asian language novel win a Hugo award for Best Novel by EOY 2030?