Will a biography of Qiaochu Yuan be written by EOY 2027 (with the help of AI)?
2
90Ṁ552028
27%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will a widely read online blogger/author/opinion writer turns out to be an AI before 2030?
86% chance
Will an AI produce encyclopedia-worthy philosophy by 2026?
15% chance
Will we have biography of >50 of the rationalists/EAs/TESCREALS written by Chen Shou, Sima Qian, or Plutarch by EOY2050?
59% chance
Will someone write the book "Elon Musk and the Methods of Rationality" by EOY2045?
41% chance
Will Qiaochu Yuan get a job for a period of time lasting more than 4 months by 2030?
66% chance
Will Qiaochu Yuan stay NEET through EOY 2026?
41% chance
Will Qiaochu Yuan have kids by 2030?
40% chance
Will Qiaochu Yuan and Brian Basham ever talk again by EOY 2026?
41% chance
Will we have bios of >20 of the Thiel Fellows by EOY2050?
59% chance
Will any notable scientist or public intellectual posthumously publish as an AI simulacrum before EoY 2027?
8% chance