Right now, all the questions about gpt2-chatbot conflate whether it's a new, improved model with whether it's from OpenAI. Let's break this down - this Q will just focus on whether this model was created by OpenAI. The question will resolve "yes" if it's confirmed before EOY by OpenAI officially.
I will bet in this market myself as I expect the outcome to be relatively clear cut. If it's not clear cut I'll err on the side of N/A to avoid the appearance of bias though.
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https://twitter.com/sama/status/1790066003113607626
Just to confirm you're on the same page I am here, would you consider this "basically confirmation"?
Other markets are resolving "yes" based on it.... But, y'know, reading comprehension.... He didn't actually come out and say "yeah, that gpt2-chatbot that you were all asking about was actually us."
@BruhMoment1d78 this one just seemed too vague. What does "next" mean? Does it mean better? Also no resolution criteria.