Will India go to war by 2025?
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Ṁ1383Jan 1
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Resolves YES if India is directly involved in a military conflict in which there are over 1,000 total casualties. Resolves NO otherwise on 1/1/2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@AndrewHartman They certainly count as military combat but have not been anywhere close to a war definition of 1,000 casualties.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020–2021_China–India_skirmishes
@SpeaksForTrees I was under the impression they were still skirmishing, tbh. I'll see if I can find some sources to corroborate that impression.
predicts NO
@AndrewHartman No, as far as I know the most recent clash was December 2022. In fact, last month it was reported that the pair held productive border talks reaffirming peace.
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