Will India go to war by 2025?
Plus
17
Ṁ1383Jan 1
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if India is directly involved in a military conflict in which there are over 1,000 total casualties. Resolves NO otherwise on 1/1/2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@AndrewHartman They certainly count as military combat but have not been anywhere close to a war definition of 1,000 casualties.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020–2021_China–India_skirmishes
@SpeaksForTrees I was under the impression they were still skirmishing, tbh. I'll see if I can find some sources to corroborate that impression.
predicts NO
@AndrewHartman No, as far as I know the most recent clash was December 2022. In fact, last month it was reported that the pair held productive border talks reaffirming peace.
Related questions
Related questions
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
19% chance
Will any wars are going and end of 2025 are go ?
54% chance
Will the Sino-Indian border dispute cause conflict before 2025?
39% chance
Will the U.S. and China go to war before 2025?
4% chance
Will the USA fight a major land war by 2035?
44% chance
Will Niger go to war before 2025?
25% chance
Will Pakistan engage in military conflict with another nation before the end of 2035?
44% chance
Will India settle their Kashmir conflict with Pakistan before January 1st 2035?
40% chance
Will any NATO country go to war by 2025?
9% chance
Will India and China go to war before 2026?
6% chance