If I remember to close this market before Thanksgiving, the answer will be "NO". If I close this after Thanksgiving but before the end of the year, the answer will be "YES". Will I forget to close this market?
Meta-Forecasting
11
13
Ṁ210
resolved Nov 23
Resolved
NO

What I mean for "by Thanksgiving" is "by midnight of the wednesday before Thanksgiving". My time zone is PST.

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@SophiaLaird I see you're currently active on Manifold, so presumably you've chosen to not resolve this market yet? Can you elaborate on when you plan to resolve it, if you remember?

@IsaacKing I intend to try to resolve it the week of thanksgiving. Play a game of chicken with myself.

bought Ṁ100 of NO

@SophiaLaird Isn't it the week of Thanksgiving right now?

@IsaacKing I'm talking more of Wednesday

predicted NO

@SophiaLaird ...So you actually meant "the day before Thanksgiving"? Why did you say a week?

@IsaacKing shrugs before opening medbox

Thanksgiving is November 24, for those who don't have the date memorized.

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