[Metaculus] Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?

Will OpenAI publicly share software it developed to make its AI run on chips from different providers, in 2026?

Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?

Will AMD release a product that is competitive with NVIDIA in the AI hardware accelerator space before 2028?

Will any China-domestic AI chip reach ≥80% of NVIDIA H100 perf on a public benchmark before 2026-12-31?

Will Elon Musk tweet that a Grok Sucessor has achieved 'AGI-level performance' or 'AGI has been reached' in 2026?

Will a serious competitor to NVIDIA in the AI chip space emerge before EOY 2027?

6. Many more AI companies will begin building custom chips.

Will OpenAI design and manufacture a custom AI chip by 2030?

Will any chip maker other than NVIDIA, Intel, and AMD create accelerators for Deep Learning and be profitable by 2030?