I saw the interaction above predicting the ChatGPT will change significantly with the release of GPT-5, and it made me think.

Resolution Criteria

• Significant Changes: Implementing features or redesigns fundamentally transforming how users engage with ChatGPT. Changes should either introduce new capabilities or significantly modify existing ones.

• Advanced Mode: If the changes are hidden behind an optional advanced mode, it would still suffice to resolve this market as yes.

• Examples of Qualifying Changes

  • The introduction of adaptive UI elements that change based on the task at hand or user preferences.

  • The integration of complex background processes that carry out extended tasks without user input, which are then reported back within the UI.

• Examples of Non-Qualifying Changes

  • Cosmetic changes such as color scheme updates, font changes, or button redesigns that do not affect the functionality or interaction flow.

  • The ability to chat with multiple bots simultaneously if the interaction style remains unchanged.

  • Features that allow multiple users to join a conversation without any changes in how the conversation is conducted or how the UI facilitates these interactions.

• Update 2026-01-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has announced their intention to resolve this market YES based on the following changes:

  • Adaptive UI Elements: OpenAI has integrated adaptive UI elements including Email and Quizzes

  • Background tasks + Pulse: OpenAI has introduced background task processing and the Pulse feature

The creator is soliciting objections before finalizing the resolution.