Will Teslas drive to buyers house by the end of 2025?
18
100Ṁ825
Dec 31
7%
chance

Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2025, at least one sold Tesla vehicle autonomously drives from a Tesla facility directly to the buyer's house.

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1912243208421023763?t=d8-LSblgX1Rv1jTho6LxxA&s=19

  • Update 2025-04-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Important Update:

    • If a human teleoperator is involved for safety purposes, the market will be resolved to 50%.

  • Update 2025-04-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Human Teleoperator Involvement

    • A drive involving any human safety operator sitting behind the wheel will not count toward a qualifying autonomous drive.

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bought Ṁ50 NO

Autonomously with or without a safety driver?

@tobiasscheuer if there's a human teleoperator somewhere for safety purposes I'll resolve it to 50%

@SimoneRomeo ok, and a safety driver in the car? It could be driving autonomously but with someone to take the wheel in case of issues. That's how most autonomous car operations start out

@tobiasscheuer that won't count.

@SimoneRomeo thank you for the clarification. Although it seems Tesla favors the remote safety driver option, since that's what they chose for their first test runs in Austin

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