
Will built-in Text-to-Speech technology significantly affect sales of audiobooks within the next ten years?
28
resolved Jun 13
✅ - Yes
❌ - No
🤷🏻♂️ - I don't know
Text-to-speech models are being improved at an incredible rate. I wonder how long it will take until we are able to narrate any book directly inside our Kindle apps. Also, if this text-to-speech thing takes off, will it be as good as the audiobooks done professionally? And if it is, could that actually start eating into audiobook sales?
I don’t see this happening within the next 5 years. This isn't so much about the technology, which is already impressive, but more about the conflicted incentives at play. Amazon runs both Kindle and Audible, so there’s a tricky balance to maintain.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Which company will have the leading text-to-speech market share in Dec 2025?
Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2026?
27% chance
Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2027?
77% chance
Will "AI be able to do a ✨performance✨ like a really good audiobook narrator." before 2028?
87% chance
Audible sells books narrated by AI voice replacements of celebrities or characters before 2029
86% chance
Will more people interact with AI via voice than via text at the end of 2027?
23% chance
Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2030?
90% chance
Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2027?
35% chance
Will a podcast with an AI system get >= 10 million listens/views by the end of 2025?
58% chance
Will video generation AI make more product revenue than text models in 2025?
21% chance