MANIFOLD
Will Anthropic release a first-party image generation model in 2026?
66
Ṁ1kṀ12k
Dec 31
40%
chance
14

Resolves YES if Anthropic releases an image generation model built in-house either as a standalone model or as a native capability added to existing Claude models (e.g., image output from Sonnet/Opus). The model must be developed by Anthropic, not licensed or fine-tuned from a third party. Resolves NO if by Dec 31, 2026 Anthropic only offers image generation through third-party integrations or has not released any image generation capability at all.


/Soli/will-anthropic-natively-integrate-i

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Does it have to be first party?

@Velaris very good question, i think so yes, right now claude code is able to call various image-generation apis but imo the friction is that it is not a native skill + users have to carry the cost which is not ideal. anthropic could still do deep integration for any open-source model and carry the cost which would solve this problem but not suffice to resolve this market yes

@Velaris @traders /Soli/will-anthropic-natively-integrate-i new related market with a more lenient resolution criteria

It seems so counterintuitive, why would they do that? It's a minefield rife with bad press and has nothing to do with their goals. They're one of the most popular AIs for companies, they don't need people using their models to generate memes.

@Velaris image models are very good at creating different kinds of visual assets and are critical for automating work. ~5-10% of my claude code usage involves it calling the nano-banana-pro api

Why is this so high?

Does a wrapper around another image model, e.g. nano banana count?

@creator Do you mean a dedicated standalone image model? Like Nano Banana? Or just regular Sonnet/Opus but which can output images?

@RS both would suffice

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