Which of these companies will release a model that thinks before it responds like O1 from OpenAI by EOY 2024?
Plus
49
Ṁ6267Dec 31
19%
xAI
17%
Meta
15%
Anthropic
Resolved
YESGoogle
As most of you already know openai released a new model called o1 capable of reasoning. In OpenAI's words the model can:
spend more time thinking before they respond. They can reason through complex tasks and solve harder problems than previous models in science, coding, and math.
I wonder if any of the big labs is already working on something that gets released this year. Even if it’s invite-only, we need to see evidence that the model exists and that someone outside the big lab’s network of family and friends has access to it. The model should be able to reason for different timeframes based on the complexity of a problem before coming up with a response.
/Soli/will-anthropic-google-xai-or-meta-r
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Which (if any) "big tech" companies will "open source" their AI models in 2024?
Will a Chinese AI developer announce a model rivaling o3 performance by February 2025?
21% chance
Will OpenAI release a model better than GPT-4o without test time compute before EOY 2024?
74% chance
Will OpenAI release an AI-powered device in 2024? (Official Partnerships with Snap, Amazon, etc. would count)
18% chance
Which companies will outrank OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (>= week)
Will Anthropic release a model that thinks before it responds like o1 from OpenAI by EOY 2024?
7% chance
Will AI models from company other than OpenAI comes first for a duration of 2 months by end of date?
Will OpenAI release o2 (or o3) before 2026?
98% chance
Will OpenAI release an AI product with a cool name by Jan 1, 2025?
40% chance
Will openAI have the most accurate LLM across most benchmarks by EOY 2024?
37% chance