When will the first fully open-source advanced LLM (data, code, weights) be released?
7
98
Ṁ158Ṁ190
Dec 31
1D
1W
1M
ALL
92%
before 2026
59%
before 2025
will refine resolution criteria later and won’t bet on this market by advanced i mean something that is similar in quality to existing open-source model like llama 2 or mistral stuff
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
Context text embedder ≠ LLM.
Mistral is open source. The training data isn't, but it's neither practical nor necessary to publish the whole dataset, considering that it's huge and likely has some copyrighted works in it.
Really strange to open a market first and come up with resolution criteria later. Whatever you come up with will upset people who made their bets having to use their own assumptions.
Related questions
Will an open model with comparable results to GPT-4 on MMLU be released by the end of July 2024?
75% chance
When will an open-source LLM be released with a better performance than GPT-4?
Will OpenAI make a fully multimodal LLM in 2024?
42% chance
Will there be an open source LLM as good as GPT4 by June 2024?
39% chance
By 2028 will we be able to identify distinct submodules/algorithms within LLMs?
75% chance
Will an open-source LLM beat or match GPT-4 by the end of 2024?
64% chance
Which High-risk threshold as defined by OpenAI will be reached first by an LLM, whether or not that LLM is released?
Will an opensource LLM on huggingface beat an average human at the most common LLM benchmarks by July 1, 2024?
79% chance
Will researchers extract a novel program from the weights of an LLM into a Procedural/OO programming language by 2026?
26% chance
When will the first quadrillion parameter LLM be made?