Will OpenAI release a new open-weight LM before September??
15
100Ṁ844Dec 31
97%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
OpenAI has announced plans to release a new open-weight language model, marking its first such release since GPT-2 in 2019. This market resolves to 'Yes' if OpenAI publicly releases the model by August 31, 2025, and 'No' otherwise. Source
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
When will OpenAI release an open source model?
OpenAI to release model weights by EOY?
90% chance
Will OpenAI offer a model that updates its weights while running during 2025?
9% chance
Will a flagship (>60T training bytes) open-weights LLM from Meta which doesn't use a tokenizer be released in 2025?
20% chance
Will OpenAI release next-generation models with varying capabilities and sizes?
75% chance
When will OpenAI release a robotics model?
When will OpenAI Announce AI Robots?