Will additional undersea cable incidents be reported near Taiwan by March 15th, 2025?
Basic
1
แน5Mar 15
48%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if any new incidents of damaged or cut undersea communications cables are reported in waters near Taiwan before March 15th, 2024. Incidents must be verified by Taiwan's authorities or telecommunications companies.
Please comment links to news sources.
Resolution Sources:
Taiwan Coast Guard Administration reports
Major telecommunications companies' statements
International news coverage of verified incidents
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
China blockades Taiwan in 2025? (tentative criteria)
19% chance
Will China launch a blockade of 1+ Taiwanese port for 10+ days in 2025?
22% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2025?
21% chance
Major internet outage due to undersea cables breaking by end of 2026?
72% chance
Additional submarine cable incidents in Baltic Sea in 2025 before June 1, 2025
92% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
40% chance
Will China invade or blockade Taiwan by the end 2025?
21% chance
Will China institute a naval blockade of Taiwan before the end of 2025?
19% chance
Will a typhoon make landfall in Taiwan in 2025?
66% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?
36% chance